peterRepeater wrote:Onto the question in hand:
Ubuntu 11.10 released on October 13th 2011. Linux Mint 12 released November 26th 2011. This is just over 6 weeks' lead time, so given that we saw Ubuntu 12.04 LTS released April 26th, I would expect Linux Mint 13 to be released sometime in the beginning of June.
To give some background:
Ubuntu 10.04 was released on April 29th, 2010, LM 9 was released May 18th, so about 3 weeks
Ubuntu 10.10 was released on October 10th, 2010, LM 10 was released November 12th, so almost 5 weeks
Ubuntu 11.04 was released on April 28th, 2011, LM 11 was released May 26th, 2011, so 4 weeks
Ubuntu 11.10 was released on October 13th, 2011, LM 12 was released November 26th, 2011, so about 6 weeks (like you said)
I have a few observations from this:
1. The May mint releases take less time than the November ones, with an average of 3 1/2 weeks versus an average of about 5 1/2 weeks.
2. On average, it takes about 4 1/2 weeks for a release.
3. Most Mint releases were in the month after Ubuntu. Here are the two that weren't (not including Mint 1.0, 2.x, and 3.x where x>0):
Linux Mint 5 Elyssa was released on June 8th
Linux Mint 6 Felicia was released on December 15th
Note that wikipedia has the release date wrong for Mint 4.0, they're a month off (they say that it was released before Ubuntu 7.10 which it's based on).
4. 4 1/2 weeks after April 26th would be somewhere between the 27th and 28th of May.
5. 3 1/2 weeks after April 26th would be somewhere between the 20th and 21st of May.
6. The release date probably depends more on what the mint team is going to do and how long that is going to take. For example, for Mint 12, they had to build MGSE, which could have delayed the release.
7. Linux Mint 12's release date was delayed by (IIRC) 5 or 6 days because of a bug with MATE, and they had to re-upload the final ISO because of it. MATE in general could have made the release take longer, which is evidenced by it almost not being ready for the Mint 12 RC.
8. It's kind of pointless to try to find an exact release date, just a general, in about a month.
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